By Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports NFL Analyst
I love the NFL and I watch all the games. However, I hate the gambling lines on some weekends because there’s no edge, or the correct play is to take bad teams with the points. Week 13 of the NFL season is one of those weekends.
Let’s jump into my best bets, with odds courtesy of FOX Bet.
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
This game is a prime spot to back a divisional home dog in the Steelers.
Yes, the Steelers looked awful against the Bengals, and they are not a good football team right now. But this Steelers team is a prideful bunch. After that embarrassing performance against the Bengals, I expect Pittsburgh to play much better against their rivals in Baltimore at home.
Mike Tomlin hasn’t been a home underdog often, but his teams have covered 81% of the games when he’s been in this spot.
It’s worth mentioning that even though the Ravens are 8-3, they are probably closer to a .500 level team. They had close wins against the Chiefs, Lions, Colts, Vikings and Bears, and all of these games could’ve resulted in losses.
Baltimore ranks 17th in offensive DVOA and 18th in defense. The Ravens are very beat up, but luckily have Lamar Jackson to make up the difference. That won’t cut it this weekend.
I’m not sure Baltimore is a team that should be more than a field goal favorite on the road against a division opponent with a historically great record as a dog. So give me the Steelers!
<p displaynav="true" class="mgn-top-20-btm-20 …….